After a quick glance at the article, I not convinced by the identification strategy vis a vis the finding that the surge caused the reduction in casualties. Another explanation for this finding could be one that is clearly much less discussed in the media or by politicians.
Indeed, the book makes clear how incredibly chaotic the entire “American experiment” has been since the beginning. It was terrible in Washington’s second term, as the Federalists and Anti Federalists (or Republicans) split to the point that many feared the country would descend into anarchy before it was even fully established.
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